Testing for a Supply Constraint to Fertility: Interpreting the Up to God Response to the Survey Question on Desired Family Size Report as inadecuate




Testing for a Supply Constraint to Fertility: Interpreting the Up to God Response to the Survey Question on Desired Family Size - Download this document for free, or read online. Document in PDF available to download.

The paper outlines a methodology that allows us to determine whether couples’ fertility is supply constrained based on the response they give to the subjective desired family size question. The central idea of the paper is that, when faced with the desired family size question, both constrained and unconstrained couples compare their demand for children with knowledge of their biological supply and unconstrained couples respond with a number while constrained couples respond with a qualitative response such as, “It is Up to God” (UTG), that essentially conveys the notion of demanding as many children as the supply function can yield. I then test this interpretation using data from Bangladesh. I find that controlling for demand side characteristics, positive supply shocks (birth of twins) lowers the probability of UTG response while negative supply shocks (wife’s infertility) significantly raises the probability of UTG response. Based on the percentage of women giving the UTG response, it can be concluded that fertility of many couples in Bangladesh was constrained by supply.

Keywords: fertility ; desired fertility ; survey nonresponse

Subject(s): Consumer/Household Economics

Issue Date: 2004

Publication Type: Working or Discussion Paper

PURL Identifier: http://purl.umn.edu/28461

Total Pages: 26

JEL Codes: J13; C25

Series Statement: Center Discussion Paper No. 889

Record appears in: Yale University > Economic Growth Center > Center Discussion Papers





Author: Sinha, Nistha

Source: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/28461?ln=en







Related documents