Anexo 6. Reporte de Simulación por Crystal Ball- Evaluación del Proyecto de Inversión en el Negocio de la Industria de la Tortilla - Departamento de Administración de Empresas y Mercadotecnia.Report as inadecuate




Anexo 6. Reporte de Simulación por Crystal Ball- Evaluación del Proyecto de Inversión en el Negocio de la Industria de la Tortilla - Departamento de Administración de Empresas y Mercadotecnia. - Download this document for free, or read online. Document in PDF available to download.

Anexo 6. Reporte de Simulación por Crystal Ball- Evaluación del Proyecto de Inversión en el Negocio de la Industria de la Tortilla - Departamento de Administración de Empresas y Mercadotecnia. - - Maestría en Administración de Empresas con especialidad en Proyectos de Inversión. - Escuela de Negocios y Economía, - Universidad de las Américas Puebla.

Author: Cruz Zerón, César

Source: http://catarina.udlap.mx/


Teaser



Crystal Ball Report Simulation started on 16-1-06 at 10:35:14 Simulation stopped on 16-1-06 at 10:35:29 Forecast: VPN = Cell: C59 Summary: Display Range is from -$545,927.28 to $3,138,037.08 $ Entire Range is from -$933,841.64 to $3,280,383.45 $ After 1,000 Trials, the Std.
Error of the Mean is $22,076.05 Statistics: Trials Mean Median Mode Standard Deviation Variance Skewness Kurtosis Coeff.
of Variability Range Minimum Range Maximum Range Width Mean Std.
Error Probability of VPN =0 Crystal Ball Student Edition Not for Commercial Use Value 1000 $1,284,653.89 $1,294,840.59 --$698,105.89 4.87E+11 -0.01 2.70 0.54 -$933,841.64 $3,280,383.45 $4,214,225.09 $22,076.05 96.71% Forecast: VPN = 1,000 Trials Frequency Chart 4 Outliers .028 28 .021 21 .014 14 .007 7 .000 0 -$545,927.28 $375,063.81 $1,296,054.90 $2,217,045.99 $3,138,037.08 $ Forecast: VPN = (cont'd) Cell: C59 Percentiles: Percentile 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% $ -$933,841.64 $337,048.58 $699,939.42 $905,186.44 $1,104,442.38 $1,294,840.59 XI.6 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% $1,440,624.10 $1,650,822.83 $1,908,984.65 $2,189,429.54 $3,280,383.45 End of Forecast Forecast: TIR = Cell: C60 Summary: Display Range is from -4% to 157% % Entire Range is from -15% to 159% % After 1,000 Trials, the Std.
Error of the Mean is 1% Statistics: Trials Mean Median Mode Standard Deviation Variance Skewness Kurtosis Coeff.
of Variability Range Minimum Range Maximum Range Width Mean Std.
Error Probability of TMAR 23.88% Crystal Ball Student Edition Not for Commercial Use Value 1000 77% 75% --31% 10% 0.17 2.59 0.41 -15% 159% 174% 0.99% 96% Forecast: TIR = 1,000 Trials Frequency Chart 3 Outliers .029 29 .022 21.75 .015 14.5 .007 7.25 .000 0 -4% 37% 77% 117% 157% % Forecast: TIR = (cont'd) Cell: C60 Percentiles: Percentile 0% 10% 20% % -15% 36% 50% XI.6 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 59% 67% 75% 83% 95% 106% 120% 159% End of Forecast Assumptions Assumption: Año 1 Triangular distribution w...






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